The Outer Box tools

Risk and Money Management

Unit 4 of 4

Your Written Trading Plan

1 Read

Read the class below, including each diagram, then tick the box.

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The best time to decide what to do in a trade is before you’re in one. This class helps you write your rules down while you’re calm, on one page.

New words in this class: trading plan (your rules in writing).

A plan is rules you set when you are calm

Every decision in this course is easier to make before a trade than during one. A trading plan is simply those decisions, written down while nothing is at stake, so that the moment a trade is open you are following rules rather than making them.

Chapter 21 of the book ends with the same point: the ladder sets entry, stop and target, but risk per trade, how many positions to hold and what to do when markets disagree are decisions about the account, and they belong to your own rules, written before the trade and not changed by it.

Size by alignment

The book gives one guide to how much of your risk to use on a trade: how many boxes agree.

Size by alignment. All boxes agree: full risk. Trading box with the direction box, state box against (a pullback): full risk at a large-box level. Trading box against the direction box (a counter-trend trade): reduced risk, target the outer C only. Nothing has fired: no trade.
  • All boxes aligned: full risk (for example, 1%).
  • Pullback inside the trend, entered at a large-box level: full risk.
  • Counter-trend trade (trading box against the direction box): reduced risk (for example, half), target the outer C and no further.
  • Nothing has fired: no trade.

Cap your total risk

One trade at 1% is controlled. Five trades at 1% each, open at once, are 5% at risk.

  • Set a maximum total open risk, for example 3% across all trades.
  • Correlated pairs count together. EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD often move in the same direction, because each is mostly a bet against the US dollar. Three longs in them are closer to one large trade than three small ones.
Three longs on EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD at 1% each look like three separate risks, but all three gain if the dollar weakens and all three lose if it strengthens. Treat them as one 3% position against the dollar.

A simple rule: if two trades would win or lose for the same reason, count them as one when you apply your limits.

Daily and weekly stop rules

Losses cluster, and judgment gets worse after several losses in a row. Decide in advance when you stop for the day:

  • Daily loss limit: for example, stop trading for the day after losing 2% or after three losing trades.
  • Weekly loss limit: for example, after 5% down in a week, trade only the smallest size until the next week.
  • Drawdown review: for example, after a 10% drawdown from your peak, stop and review your journal before the next trade.

These rules feel unnecessary on good days. They exist for the bad ones.

News and weekends

Decide in advance:

  • whether you hold trades through high-impact news (central bank decisions, the US jobs report, inflation data), or close or avoid trading before them;
  • whether you hold trades over the weekend, when a gap can jump past your stop.

Your one-page plan

Copy this and fill it in before your next trade. Keep it next to your screen.

Section Your rule
Account and risk Risk per trade: % of equity. Smallest size I will trade:
Boxes Direction box: ___ State box: ___ Trading box: ___
Entry I enter only on: ___ (for example, a sentiment trigger on the trading box in the direction box’s bias)
Stop Placed: ___ (for example, beyond the −10% or 110% threshold)
Target First: ___ Second: ___ (for example, C, then the edge zone)
Size Full when ; reduced (%) when ; none when
Total risk Maximum open risk: ___%. Correlated pairs count as one
Stop rules Daily: ___ Weekly: ___ Review after a drawdown of ___%
News and weekends ___
Record After every trade I write: the reading, the levels, the result in R, and whether I followed this plan

The last row matters most. The Trading Psychology course shows how to use that record.

Remember

  • A plan is rules you set while calm and follow while the market is moving.
  • Cap your total risk and set a daily stop: a bad day stays a bad day, not a bad month.
  • Write the one-page plan now, and check every trade against it.

2 Check yourself

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