The Outer Box tools

Market Basics

Unit 2 of 4

How the Forex Market Works

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If you have ever swapped dollars for euros before a trip, you have already used the forex market. It is the biggest market in the world, and the one the Outer Box book uses for most of its examples.

New words in this class: currency pair, pip and leverage.

Money for money

Forex (short for foreign exchange) is where one country’s money is swapped for another’s. Companies paying overseas suppliers, travellers, investors, central banks and traders all use it. Around $9.6 trillion changes hands every day, and the US dollar is on one side of almost nine trades in ten.

Prices come in pairs

You can’t buy “the euro” on its own: you always buy one currency with another. So forex prices are quoted as a currency pair.

EUR/USD at 1.0850: one euro costs 1.0850 US dollars. EUR is the first (base) currency, USD the second (quote) currency.

EUR/USD = 1.0850 means one euro costs 1.0850 US dollars. If it rises to 1.0900, the euro has got stronger: one euro now buys more dollars. If it falls, the euro has got weaker.

The most traded pairs all include the US dollar: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD, USD/CAD and NZD/USD. Traders call them the majors.

Up or down, both are normal

Every forex trade buys one currency and sells the other at the same moment.

Buying EUR/USD buys euros and sells dollars, and gains if EUR/USD rises. Selling EUR/USD sells euros and buys dollars, and gains if EUR/USD falls.
  • Buy EUR/USD if you think the euro will get stronger.
  • Sell EUR/USD if you think it will get weaker.

Selling first is as ordinary in forex as buying first, so a falling market is as tradable as a rising one.

A market that follows the sun

Forex has no single building or exchange: it is a worldwide network of banks and brokers trading by computer. So instead of one opening bell, trading moves around the globe as each city wakes up: Sydney, Tokyo, London, New York.

The forex day in Eastern Time: Sydney opens around 5 PM, Tokyo around 7 PM, London around 3 AM and New York around 8 AM. The busiest hours are when London and New York overlap, from about 8 AM to noon.

It is open 24 hours a day from about 5 PM Eastern on Sunday to 5 PM Eastern on Friday. The busiest stretch is when London and New York are both open, roughly 8 AM to noon Eastern.

Tiny steps called pips

Exchange rates move in small steps, so traders count in pips.

On most pairs a pip is the fourth decimal place: 1.0850 to 1.0851 is one pip. On yen pairs it is the second decimal.
  • On most pairs a pip is the fourth decimal: EUR/USD going from 1.0850 to 1.0851 is one pip.
  • On yen pairs it is the second decimal: 150.00 to 150.01 is one pip.

How much a pip is worth in money depends on how big your trade is; you will work that out in Forex Essentials. For now: on the smallest common trade size, a pip on EUR/USD is worth about 10 cents.

Leverage: handle with care

Forex brokers let you control a large amount of currency with a small deposit. That is leverage, and it works like a magnifying glass: it makes gains and losses bigger.

With 50 to 1 leverage, a $2,000 deposit controls $100,000 of EUR/USD. A 1% move in your favour gains $1,000; a 1% move against you loses $1,000, half the deposit.

At 50 to 1, $2,000 controls $100,000. Then a 1% move is $1,000, half your deposit, in either direction. That is why beginners start with the smallest sizes and learn to manage risk first (that’s Risk and Money Management, two courses from now).

Going deeper Who keeps forex fair in the US

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulates forex, and the National Futures Association (NFA) registers and supervises forex brokers. US rules cap leverage for individual traders at 50 to 1 on the major pairs and 20 to 1 on the others. Before opening an account with a US broker, check it is registered with the NFA; other countries have their own regulators.

Remember

  • Forex prices come as a currency pair: EUR/USD is how many dollars one euro costs.
  • It trades around the clock on weekdays, busiest when London and New York overlap.
  • Prices move in pips, and leverage makes every pip count for more, both ways.

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